Shown above is an expanded plot of the variation of the All India Summer Monsoon rainfall between about 1828 and 1990 that appears in the top right hand corner of the image below.
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It just goes to show how low some scientists can get.
ReplyDeleteThe above material [with explanation] was emailed by this blog owner to Nicola Scafetta, well before he published these same results in papers that were reviewed and published in 2010 and 2011.
The time stamp on my hard drive for the second graph posted above is September 26 th 2006, while the time stamp for the first graph is the 26 th of October 2008. This indicates that I sent Dr. Scafetta this information some time in late 2008 or 2009.
Not once has Dr. Scafetta cited me for forwarding this information to him in confidence:
Here are two papers which state this information without citing me as the source.
Craig Loehle and Nicola Scafetta, "Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Climatic Data," The Open Atmospheric Science Journal, 2011 5, 74-86
A shared frequency set between the historical mid-latitude aurora records and the global surface temperature. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 2011
In the latter paper, Dr Scafetta states:
These results clearly suggest the existence in the climate of a natural 60-year cycle synchronized to a correspondent solar/astronomical cycle.For example, Fig. 3 depicts three multi-secular climate records from three independent regions of the globe showing multiple quasi-60-year large oscillations since 1650. Fig. 3A
depicts a record obtained from the tree-ring chronologies from Pinus Flexilis in California and Albertain: the best sinusoidal fit gives a period of T ~ 61.5 +/- 4 years. This record is used as a proxy for reconstructing the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(MacDonald and Case,
2005). Fig. 3B depicts the G.Bulloides abundance variation record
found in the Cariaco Basin sediments in the Caribbean sea since 1650(Blacketal.,1999): the best sinusoidal regression fit gives a period of T ~ 59.5 +/- 4 years: indeed, a quasi-60-year cycle has been found in the Caribbean sea formillennia during the entire Holocene(Knudsen et al.,2011). This record is an indicator of the trade wind strength in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and of the North Atlantic Ocean atmo-sphere variability. Periods of high G.Bulloides abundance correlate well with periods of reduced solar output(the well-known Oort, Wolf, Sporer, Maunder, Dalton minima): a fact that suggests that these cycles are solar induced(Black etal.,1999). Fig. 3C depicts the Indian summer monsoon rain fall record from 1813 to 1998 that also shows prominentquasi-60-year cycles. The Indian summer monsoon rainfall record, together with east equatorial and Chinese monsoons,clearly manifest a solar variability signature for several centuries (Agnihotri and Dutta,2003): the best sinusoidal fit of the Indian monsoon rain fall record gives a period of T ~ 62 +/- 4 years.The cycles depicted in Figs.2 and 3 are well synchronized to the quasi-60-year modulation of the global temperature observed since 1850.
Do you think that the results, which he claims are his, might have been inspired by the information and graphs that I sent him in confidence in 2008-2009?
Ian,
ReplyDeletehave you emailed Scafetta to ask him? I think you should do this, despite your understandable anger. Run it by me before you press 'send'.
The best result here is that he credits you in his next paper. He won't if he feels that he has been 'named and shamed' unfairly - for whatever reason.
I have a mention in one of Scafetta's published bibliographies, so he does remember sometimes...
I posted this is March 2010 because of my anger that Nicola had published my results in his February 2010 paper without citing me. See figure 2 of Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 72(2010)951–970.
ReplyDeleteI suppressed the fact that he had claimed my work as his own for the simple reason that I did not want to jeopardize getting the message out about the possibility that the Earth's temperatures were externally driven.
I will have nothing to do with the man now. I know that this might sound bitter but I am still a few years ahead of him in my research even though I do not have the luxury of time to get my results out as quick as he can.