Thursday, May 19, 2016

Changes to the Earth's albedo appear to lead the SOI Index by approximately 6 months

Figures 1a shows the mean monthly apparent albedo anomalies from December 1998 to December 2014 as measured by ground-based earth-shine observations. The anomalies are calculated over the mean of the full period and positive anomalies are shown in red and negative in blue. The averaged standard deviation (error) of the monthly data is also indicated in the lower right corner.

Palle, E., et al. (2016), Earth’s albedo variations 1998–2014 as measured
from ground-based earth-shine observations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 

Figure 1a and 1b

Figure 1b shows the monthly Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) published by the Australian Bureau of Meterology (BOM) at:

The SOI has be shifted backward in time by 6 months.

Not withstanding the large error bars associated with the mean monthly apparent albedo anomalies, and the gap in the albedo anomaly data between June 2005 and December 2006, there appears to be rough correlation between the retarded SOI and the monthly apparent albedo anomaly.

If this correlation has any validity then I would predict that the Earth's mean monthly albedo anomaly will remain in negative territory from late 2014 till the end of 2015. 

The next few of years of data from the Earth-shine project should be very interesting if it does. 

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